Make the most of your Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2014
Check here for all EBASG sponsored symposia, posters, meetings and mixers!
All EBASG members are welcome to join the business meeting and mixer.
- Business Meeting: Monday, December 8, 12:05 - 1:00 PM, Room: TBA
- Mixer: Tuesday, December 9, 6:00 - 7:30 PM, Room: TBA
Poster Reception: Monday, December 8, 2014, 6:00-8:00 PM, Sheraton Denver, Plaza Ballroom A,B,C
This year’s meeting will feature a Poster Reception on Monday evening from 6:00 to 8:00 PM, with food and cash bar. During this time, attendees will have the opportunity to vote for the 5 Best Posters. Posters will be on display starting at 5:00 pm and poster presenters will be at their posters for questions and discussion during the Reception. Consider voting for an EBASG poster! Don't miss it!
P.39 Assessment of risk mitigation measures effectiveness: application to natural risks in mountains, Carladous S, Tacnet JM, Batton-Hubert M, Curt C, Irstea - Snow Avalanche Engineering and Torrent Control Research Unit
P.40 Cost-benefit analysis of the countermeasures for agricultural products against contamination with radioactive substances, Oka T, Fukui Prefectural University
P.41 Disaggregating the costs to human health from changing temperatures in the US, Schwarber A, Calvin K, Green-Barnes J, Hennig R, Puett R, Saptoka A, Gilmore EA, Joint Global Change Research Institute and University of Maryland
P.42 Greenhouse gas emissions from corporate average fuel economy alternative fuel vehicle incentives, Jenn A, Azevedo I, Michalek J, Carnegie Mellon University
P.43 SEA (socio-economic analysis) system for replacement of hazard chemical substances in Korea, Lee YJ, Lee GW, Yang JY, Lee HS, Shin DC, Yonsei University College of Medicine
P.44 Indirect cost of damages to underground infrastructures due to excavation, Peignier I, De Marcellis-Warin N, CIRANO and Ecole Polytechnique de Montréal
P.45 Efficiency, equity and environmental protection: a real world case from standard setting for thermal power plants, Cifuentes LA, de la Maza C, Donoso F, P. Universidad Católica de Chile
EBASG is also pleased to sponsor the following presentations in a multimedia session on "Understanding & Adapting to the Impacts of Climate Change".
Wednesday, December 10: 3:30 - 5:10 PM, Governors Square 10
W4-F.4: Impact analysis of high-intensity natural disasters: a computable general equilibrium approach, Yu KDS, Tan RR, Santos JR, De La Salle University
W4-F-8: Evaluating economic benefits from abating black carbon and carbon dioxide, Zheng JM, Gilmore EA, Sarofim MC, University of Maryland
Symposia and Roundtables: EBASG sponsored symposia will be held in Plaza Ballroom D.
Monday, December 8
M2-B: 10:30 AM - Noon, The Costs of Inaction: Estimating the Damages from Climate Change
M4-B: 3:30 - 5:10 PM, Cost of Illness Studies and Beyond
Tuesday, December 9
T2-B: 10:30 AM - Noon, Benefit-Cost Analysis for Environmental Applications, Co-sponsored by the Society for Benefit Cost Analysis
T3-B: 1:30 - 3:00 PM, Challenges & Opportunities for Economic Analysis of Risk Policy, Co-sponsored by the Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis
T4-B: 3:30 - 5:10 PM, Innovations in Benefit Cost Analysis, Co-sponsored by the Society for Benefit Cost Analysis
Wednesday, December 10
W1-B: 8:30 - 10:00 AM, Advances in Managing Risk Using Economics
W2-B: 10:30 AM - Noon, Assessing the Impact of Risk Management Strategies, Co-sponsored by the Society for Benefit Cost Analysis
W3-B: 1:30 - 3:00 PM, Advances in Economic Consequences: Analysis of Terrorism and Natural Disasters
W4-B: 3:30 - 5:10 PM, Risk Regulation and the Economic Value of Mortality Risk Reductions, Co-sponsored by the Society for Benefit Cost Analysis
Sunday, December 7: 8:00 am-Noon
WK7S: Eliciting Judgments from Experts and Non-Experts to Inform Decision-Making
Organizer(s): Aylin Sertkaya, Eastern Research Group, Inc. (ERG); Cristina McLaughlin, Food & Drug Administration (FDA)
Instructor(s): Aylin Sertkaya, Eastern Research Group, Inc. (ERG); Cristina McLaughlin, Food & Drug Administration (FDA); Frank Hearl, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH); David Cragin, Merck; Christy Powers , U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
Preregistration Cost: $250; Onsite Cost: $300
Decision makers must frequently rely on data or information that is incomplete or inadequate in one way or another. Judgment, often from experts and occasionally from non-experts, then plays a critical role in the interpretation and characterization of those data as well as in the completion of information gaps. But how experts or non-experts are selected and their judgments elicited matters – they can also strongly influence the opinions obtained and the analysis on which they rely. Several approaches to eliciting judgments have evolved. The workshop will cover topics ranging from recruitment, elicitation protocol design, different elicitation techniques (e.g., individual elicitations, Delphi method, nominal group technique, etc.) to aggregation methods for combining opinions of multiple individuals. The role of judgment elicitation and its limitations, problems, and risks in policy analysis will also be addressed. The workshop will include presentation of two case studies that will include a discussion of the selection process; elicitation protocol development, elicitation technique utilized, and the various issues that arose before, during, and after the elicitation process and the manner in which they were resolved. The class will also include two hands-on exercises where participants will 1) learn about calibration of experts using a mobile application and 2) apply the Delphi and nominal group techniques to examine risk management issues associated with recreational marijuana.
Sunday, December 7: 1:00 - 5:00 PM
WK12S: Methods for Quantifying and Valuing Population Health Impacts
Organizer(s): Kevin Brand, University of Ottawa
Instructor(s): Kevin Brand, University of Ottawa; Sandra Hoffman, USDA
Preregistration Cost: $250; Onsite Cost: $300
The workshop reviews standard practices and emerging issues related to the quantification of a population’s health state. Particular attention is paid to the array of metrics available for this purpose, their use in quantifying population health impacts, and how these impact projections can be integrated into economic valuations. Risk assessment typically couples exposure information with an exposure-response relationship to estimate changes in incidence rates (e.g., a mortality rate). Expressed in this fashion (along an incident rate scale) these impact measures fall short. They do not capture the burden of disease, are not readily interpretable, complicate the comparison of disease outcomes, and are not suited to a single number summary. This workshop focuses on the methods required to get readily interpretable, comparable, bottom-line, summaries of health impact. A dizzying array of metrics can be used to quantify health impacts. Consider for example ``avoidable deaths,’’ PEYLLs, life-expectancy, lifetime risk, HALEs, QALYs, DALEs, DALYs and `attributable-fractions’ to name just a few. In this workshop we survey and bring order to these variants, classifying the metrics into a couple of categories. A finer grained classification is provided based on how the metric is calculated; for example does it adjust for the size and age structure of the population under study. The key choices and their influence upon projected outcomes will be outlined. Finally, a survey of the key steps and considerations that are required to map the health impacts, expressed in units such as change in life-expectancy, into health-economic evaluations will be offered.