Every year, the Editorial staff selects the papers from that year that have made the most significant impacts to the theory or practice of risk analysis. The staff also selects reviewers that have contributed high quality reviews to recognize their extraordinary efforts and contributions to the journal. The certificates are awarded at the SRA's Annual Meeting.
2017 Best Papers
Communicating Uncertain Science to the Public: How Amount and Source of Uncertainty Impact Fatalism, Backlash, and Overload. By Jakob D. Jensen, Manusheela Pokharel, Courtney L. Scherr, Andy J. King, Natasha Brown, and Christina Jones, 37(1):40-51.
Comparison or Risk Predicted by Multiple Norovirus Dose-Response Models and Implications for Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment. By Nicole Van Abel, Mary E. Schoen, John C. Kissel, and J. Scott Meschke, 37(2):245-264.
Who is a Distracted Driver? Associations Between Mobile Phone Use While Driving, Domain-Specific Risk-Taking, and Personality. By Madison Sween, Andrea Ceschi, Francesco Tommasi, Ricardo Sartori, and Joshua Weller, 37(11):2119-2131.
Modeling the Transmission of Measles and Rubella to Support Global Management Policy Analyses and Eradication Investment Cases. By Kimberly M. Thompson and Nima D. Badizadegan, 37(6):1109-1131.
2016 Best Papers
Inconsistencies in Risk Analyses for Ambient Air Pollutant Regulations. By Anne Smith, 36(9): 1737-1744.
Linear-No-Threshold Default Assumptions for Noncancer and Nongenotoxic-Cancer Risks: A Mathematical and Biological Critique. By Ken Bogen, 36(3): 589-604.
Asteroid Risk Assessment: A Probabilistic Approach. By Jason Reinhardt, Chen, Xi; Wenhao Liu, Petar Manchev, and M Elisabeth Paté Cornell, 2016; 36(2): 244-261.
2015 Best Papers
The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis, by Terje Aven, 35(3):476–483.
Cognitive and Motivational Biases in Decision and Risk Analysis, by Gilberto Montibeller and
Detlof von Winterfeldt, 35(7):1230–1251.
The Effects of Urban Form on Ambient Air Pollution and Public Health Risk: A Case Study in Raleigh, North Carolina, by Theodore J. Mansfield, Daniel A. Rodriguez, Joseph Huegy and Jacqueline MacDonald Gibson, 35(5):901-918
2014 Best Papers
Uncertainty in Climate Change Modelling: Can Global Sensitivity Analysis Be Of Help?
Barry Anderson, Emanuele Borgonovo, Marzio Galeotti, Roberto Roson
Attenuating Initial Beliefs: Increasing the Acceptance of Anthropogenic Climate Change Information by Reflecting On Values
Anne-Marie van Prooijen and Paul Sparks
Managing the Fukushima Challenge
2013 Best Papers
Wildfire exposure analysis on the national forests in the Pacific Northwest, USA
33(6): 1000-1020 - Alan Ager, Michelle Buonopane, Allison Reger and Mark A. Finney
Low-probability flood risk modeling for New York City
33(5): 772–788 - Jeroen C.J.H. Aerts, Ning Lin, Wouter Botzen, Kerry Emanual and Hans de Moel
2012 Best Papers
Modeling Intelligent Adversaries for Terrorism Risk Assessment: Some Necessary Conditions for Adversary Models, 32(7):1117–1121—Seth Guikema
Adversarial Risk Analysis for Counterterrorism Modeling, 32(5):894–915—Jesus M. Rios Aliaga
Exploring Robust Alternatives for Climate Adaptation in Forest Land Management, 32(12):2098–2112—Tim McDaniels, Tamsin Mills, Robin Gregory, Dan Ohlson
Adversarial Risk Analysis with Incomplete Information: A Level-k Approach, 32(7):1219–1231—Casey Rothschild, Laura McLay, Seth Guikema
On the Risk Management and Risk Governance for Petroleum Operations in the Barents Sea Area, 32(9):1561-1575--Terje Aven and Ortwin Renn
2011 Best Papers
A Causal Model of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Risk
Tony Cox, 31(1):38-62.
Strategic Appraisal of Environmental Risks: A Contrast between the UK’s Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change and Its Committee on Radioactive Waste Management
Simon Dietz and Alec Morton, 31(1):129-142.
Why Near Miss Events Can Decrease an Individual's Protective Response to Hurricanes
Robin Dillon, Catherine Tinsley, and Matthew Cronin, 31(3):440-449.
Ecological Risk Assessment, Prediction and Assessing Risk Predictions
Mark Gibbs, 31(11).
The White (Male) Effect and Risk Perception: Can Equality Make a Difference?
Anna Olofsson and Saman Rashid, 31(6):1016-1032.
Can Environmental Insurance Succeed Where Other Strategies Fail? The Case of Underground Storage Tanks
Haitao Yin, Alex Pfaff, and Howard Kunreuther, 31(1):12-24.
2010 Best Papers
Analyzing Evacuation vs. Shelter-in-Place Strategies After a Terrorist Nuclear Detonation
Lawrence Wein and Youngsoo Choi, 30(9):1315-1327.
Managing Invasive Species in the Presence of Endogenous Technological Change with Uncertainty
C.S. Kim, Glenn D. Schaible, Jan Lewandrowski, and Utpal Vasavada, 30(2):250-260.
Prioritizing Environmental Health Risks in the UAE
Henry Willis, Jacqueline MacDonald, Regina Shih, Sandra Geschwind, Sarah Olmstead, Jianhui Hu, Aimee Curtright, Gary Cecchine, and Melinda Moore, 30(12).
The Intuitive Detection Theorist (IDT) Model of Trust in Hazard Management
Matthew P. White and Branden B. Johnson, 30 (8):1196-1209.
Risk Governance for Mobil Phones, Power Lines, and Other EMF Technologies
Leeka Kheifets, John Swanson, Shaiela Kandel, and Timothy Malloy, 30(10):1482-1494.
Anthropic Shadow: Observation Selection Effects and Human Extinction Risks
Milan Cirkovic, Anders Sandbert, and Nick Bostrom, 30(10):1495-1506.
Contribution to Best Issue-Linked Paper Set - 2010
Intelligent Adversary Risk Analysis: A Bioterrorism Risk Management Model
Gregory S. Parnell, Christopher M. Smith, and Frederick I. Moxley, 30(1):32-48.
Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Terrorism Risk
Barry Ezell, Steve Bennett, Detlof von Winterfeldt, John Sokolowski, and Andrew Collins, 30(4) 575-589.
Response to Parnell, Smith, and Moxley, Intelligent Adversary Risk Analysis: A Bioterrorism Risk Management Model
Barry C. Ezell and Andrew J. Collins, 30(6):875.
Response to Letter to the Editor
Gregory S. Parnell and Christopher M. Smith, 30(6):876.
Conundrums with Uncertainty Factors
Roger Cooke, 30(3):330-339.
Are Conundrums with Uncertainty Factors an Obstacle to Developing Probabilistic Interpretations of Noncancer Risks for Chemicals?
Rob Goble and Dale Hattis, 30(3):340-345.
Discussion of “Conundrums with Uncertainty Factors”
Thomas Louis, 30(3):346-348.
Uncertainty Factor Conundrums: What Lessons Should We Draw?
Lorenz R. Rhomberg, 30(3):349-352.
Response to Reviewers
Roger M. Cooke, 30(3):353.
Trust and Risk
Trust in Risk Management: A Model-Based Review of Empirical Research
Timothy Earle, 30(4):541-574.
Trust and Confidence: The Difficulties in Distinguishing the Two Concepts in Research
Michael Siegrist, 30(7):1022-1024.
Distinguishing Trust from Confidence: Manageable Difficulties, Worth the Effort
Timothy Earle, 30(7):1025-1027.
2009 Best Papers
Evaluating Critical Uncertainty Thresholds in a Spatial Model of Forest Pest Invasion Risk
Frank Koch, Denys Yemshanov, Daniel McKenney, and William Smith, 29(9).
A Model of Exposure to Rotavirus from Non-dietary Ingestion Iterated by Simulated Intermittent Contacts
Timothy Julian, Robert Canales, James Leckie and Alexandria Boehm, 29(5).
Loss of Life Caused by the Flooding of New Orleans after Hurricane Katrina: A Preliminary Analysis of the Relationship between Flood Characteristics and Mortality
Sebastiaan Jonkman, Bob Maaskant, Ezra Boyd, and Marc Lloyd Levitan, 29(5).
Managing Societal and Institutional Risks in Child Protection
Eileen Munro, 29(7).
Dealing with the White Death: Avalanche Risk Management for Traffic Routes
Christoph Rheinberger, Michael Brundl, and Jakob Rhyner, 29(1).
2016 Best Reviewers
2015 Best Reviewers
Michael R. Greenberg (Book Reviewer)
2014 Best Reviewers
Warner North (Book Reviewer)
2013 Best Reviewers
2012 Best Reviewers
2011 Best Reviewers
2010 Best Reviewers
L. Robin Keller
2009 Best Reviewer
2008 Best Reviewer