News

STUDY WEIGHS THE RISKS OF CLIMATE GEOENGINEERING

New research shows that methods for slowing climate change — from planting forests to fertilizing the oceans with iron – bring dangerous risk tradeoffs To slow down the accelerating pace of climate change, scientists are working on radical geoengineering technologies like space mirrors, ocean iron fertilization, and cirrus cloud thinning to tweak the earth’s climate […]

How Will Humans Survive a Global Catastrophe?

An analysis of China and Western Australia during the COVID-19 pandemic shows that creating a safe refuge may be an option One suggested way to save humankind in the event of a deadly pandemic or other extreme global catastrophe is establishing a safe refuge – on an island or in such far-out places as the […]

WHICH POLITICAL IDEOLOGIES MAKE PEOPLE MORE LIKELY TO DISMISS THE RISK OF COVID-19?

New research looks beyond the simple liberal vs. conservative divide Herndon, Va. (February 1, 2022) – A study published in the journal Risk Analysis suggests that people who embrace the ideologies of libertarianism and anti-egalitarianism are more likely to disregard the risks of COVID-19 and oppose government actions.  Assistant professor Yilang Peng of the University […]

STUDY SHOWS THAT INCREASED VOTING BY MAIL DOES NOT REDUCE THE SECURITY OF U.S. ELECTIONS

The findings are based on a data analysis of potential risks identified in a mail voting “attack tree” Herndon, Va. (January 24, 2022) – Results of a study published in the scientific journal Risk Analysis indicate that the recent increase in mail-based voting due to COVID-19 has not jeopardized the safety of the U.S. elections […]

TEN HONORED BY SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS

The Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) awarded seven prestigious scholarly and service awards and named three new fellows at this year’s virtual annual meeting. These awardees were recognized for their exceptional contributions to SRA and to the risk analysis community. The award recipients were nominated by their peers, selected by an SRA committee, and approved […]

THE HUMAN AND ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF COVID-19

Embargoed for Release Until December 7, 2021 New research reveals the economic costs of behavioral responses to the pandemic in the U.S. Throughout its unsteady course, the COVID-19 pandemic has altered the behavior of businesses and households.  Those behavioral changes, intensified by government actions like mandatory closures, have had a reverberating impact on the U.S. […]

STUDY FINDS THAT HIGHWAY DELAYS CAN CAUSE ECONOMIC LOSSES OF $8 MILLION TO $250 MILLION IN A SINGLE DAY

Embargoed for Release Until December 8, 2021 Researchers analyze the economic cost of disruptions to a critical transportation network in Virginia, including a hurricane evacuation The shutdown of the Colonial gas pipeline in May 2021 had a disastrous impact on many sectors of the U.S. economy, particularly those dependent on the country’s transportation infrastructure. The […]

TRACKING INEQUITIES AND HEALTH IMPACTS OF FLOODING

Embargoed for Release Until December 9, 2021 New research demonstrates the inherent inequities of flood protection and offers a better understanding of flooding cost and health impacts Flooding is the most expensive natural disaster in the United States, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), costing the country more than $1 trillion in […]

MICROGRIDS AND SOLAR REDUCE RISK OF POWER OUTAGES

Embargoed for Release Until December 7, 2021 New research on microgrids and solar backup systems, and a wildfire outage vulnerability map for the state of California Climate change is fueling more floods, droughts, wildfires, and extreme storms across the United States. As a result, aging power grids are being pushed beyond their limits, sometimes with […]

SOCIETY FOR RISK ANALYSIS RELEASES RISK ANALYSIS QUALITY TEST

The Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) has launched a Risk Analysis Quality Test (RAQT), a battery of many one-question tests, as an innovative approach to evaluate the quality of risk analyses supporting risk management decisions. SRA encourages risk analysists, decision makers, experts and non-experts, to apply this battery of tests to evaluate all aspects of […]

Webinar: Pandemic Communication

By Dr. David Berube Please join us for the first webinar of 2022 on February 23rd at 4:00 pm to learn about Pandemic Communication by Dr. David Berube. Registration is free but required at https://tinyurl.com/4h8zekdz

NEW RESEARCH ANALYZES MILLIONS OF TWITTER POSTS DURING HURRICANES TO UNDERSTAND HOW PEOPLE COMMUNICATE IN A DISASTER

The study suggests that monitoring social media during hurricanes could help communities better plan for and mitigate the impacts of climate change  In the face of a potentially disastrous storm like Hurricane Ida, people take to Twitter and other social media sites to communicate vital information. New research published in the journal Risk Analysis suggests that monitoring and analyzing this social media “chatter” during a natural disaster could help decision makers learn how to plan for and […]

STUDY FINDS AN OIL SPILL IN THE CANADIAN ARCTIC COULD BE DEVASTATING FOR THE ENVIRONMENT AND INDIGENOUS PEOPLES

As melting sea ice brings more ships through the Northwest Passage, new research shows that Canada must prepare for the costs and consequences of an Arctic oil spill The growing rate of ice melt in the Arctic due to rising global temperatures has opened up the Northwest Passage (NWP) to more ship traffic, increasing the […]

AFTER THE BIG STORM: HOW TO SUPPLY EMERGENCY POWER TO RESIDENTS OF RURAL AND SUBURBAN COMMUNITIES DURING MULTI-DAY OUTAGES

New research suggests that cooperative strategies for sharing emergency power among households can be 10 to 40 times less costly than running individual gas-powered generators As demand for electricity rises and climate change brings more frequent and extreme storms, residents in rural and suburban communities must have access to the minimal electricity they need to […]

SPECIAL ISSUE ON THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Shows Depth and Breadth of Global Systemic Risk and Resilience Herndon, Va. (May 20, 2021) – The international journal Risk Analysis has published a timely special issue for May 2021, “Global Systemic Risk and Resilience for Novel Coronavirus and COVID-19.” Featuring 11 papers written for this issue over the past year, the collection represents a […]

WHAT MOTIVATES NATURAL RESOURCE POLICYMAKERS IN AFRICA TO TAKE ACTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE?

New research finds that social norms and experience with extreme weather events influence professional action on climate change in East Africa Climate services are vital tools for decision makers addressing climate change in developing countries. Science-based seasonal forecasts and accompanying materials can support climate risk management in agriculture, health, water management, energy, and disaster risk […]

HOW COULD RISING SEA LEVEL IMPACT THE NATIONAL FLOOD INSURANCE PROGRAM?

Experts analyze the impact of sea level rise on flood insurance for a New York City neighborhood Insurance policy premiums from the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) allow policyholders to maintain a lower, grandfathered rate even when the risk escalates. But as coastal flooding increases due to rising sea level and more intense storms, new […]

SPECIAL ISSUE: GLOBAL POLIOVIRUS RISK MANAGEMENT AND MODELING

How much and why is global polio eradication off track? Launched in 1988, the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) stands out as one of the largest, internationally coordinated global public health major projects conducted to date, with cumulative spending of over $16.5 billion for 1988–2018, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). More than 30 […]

CAN THE WORLD AVOID ANOTHER GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS?

New research suggests that rising social inequality must be addressed to reduce risk within the world’s financial system More than a decade later after the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers triggered a global economic crisis, experts still debate the question: How could one incident endanger the world’s entire financial system?  In new research published by the […]